Predictors of Alcoholics Changing

Predictors of changes in alcohol-related self-efficacy over 16 years.

Self-efficacy is a robust predictor of short and long term remission after treatment.

This study examined the predictors of self-efficacy in the year after treatment and 15 years later.

A sample of 420 individuals with alcohol use disorders was assessed five times over the course of 16 years.

Predictors of self-efficacy at 1 year included

improvement from baseline to 1 year in heavy drinking,
alcohol-related problems,
depression,
impulsivity,
avoidance coping,
social support from friends, and
longer duration of participation in Alcoholics Anonymous (AA).
Female gender,
more education,
less change in substance use problems, and
impulsivity during the first year predicted improvement in self-efficacy over 16 years.
Clinicians should focus on keeping patients engaged in AA,
addressing depressive symptoms,
improving patient’s coping, and
enhancing social support during the first year and reduce the risk of relapse by monitoring individuals whose alcohol problems and impulsivity improve unusually quickly.